Boeing Forecasts Huge Global Aviation Market in 2020s But Embroiled In Short Term Troubles And Facing Threats At Home

Plane maker anticipates strong orders for commercial aircraft orders from Middle East, Asia,    while Union action and lackluster aircraft variant orders likely to hold it back.

 

Boeing, Inc. (NYSE:BA) has forecasted a market size of 13000 aircrafts and less than 3000 aircraft orders for the Middle East respectively. This certainly is a very lucrative market for plane-makers for both, Airbus and Boeing, but especially for the latter. There is now a new dimension to this, as claimed by James Armington, Boeing’s Vice President for the East Asia-Pacific region. He now predicts that South Asia’s, and a part the Middle East, demand for defense aircraft is likely to grow, because of growing economic growth. The major reason for this rise in demand is also a number of territorial disputes and the battle for depleting natural resources erupting in the region, resulting in a number of Asian states beefing up their military to face any untoward threat.

Whilst the Chicago headquartered company also predicts a market of more than 7500 commercial planes, each for the North American and European market is below the average 10500 planes that were sold for the past few years due to debts and budget deficits. This compelled many governments there to trim down their defense budgets and focus on rationalizing their defense structure, although they will still be able to invest more on technologies and focus more on bootless warfare, involving no troops on ground, using technologies such as drones and other reconnaissance aircraft.

The above scenario presents a positive outlook for many aerospace companies, but for the likes of Boeing, that road trip for a greater slice of that aircraft order share is not without its speed bumps that they will likely come across the runway. Next month, Boeing will pit itself against the unions for the ‘union authorization vote’ that has disrupted the organized labor movement’s expansion down. Ever since Boeing set up its manufacturing plant down in South Carolina, the company has been engaged in a clash with the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAM). The former’s plan to take advantage of the anti-unionist labor market down South against the latter’s plan to expand the union membership there to provide benefits to workers on union membership.

Boeing has hit out at the IAM for false and misplaced information that it is subjugating workers’ rights, and points to investments made exclusively to South Carolina facilities to benefit the related communities. Another key area of concern is the variant aircraft orders. With the first quarter of this year ending, the company has recorded 80 orders, but only seven of them are ‘787' aircraft against the 60 ‘737’ upgraded models. The company must keep track of the demand in the market, and ensure a responsive supply chain to produce more airplanes of that model in high demand. The company has installed a new system in its manufacturing facility to help its 737s built faster and meet this demand.